Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 11.001029 12.224595 13.541753 15.067317 16.788399 18.673100 20.897554
2025-08-10 8.815518 10.431531 12.297598 14.620720 17.447747 20.791925 25.070474
2025-08-17 7.307369 9.114340 11.328144 14.259962 18.070444 22.895693 29.532773
2025-08-24 6.246739 8.151494 10.607469 14.040803 18.771120 25.139073 34.496323
2025-08-31 5.478651 7.437080 10.078267 13.952413 19.577464 27.583489 40.087519
2025-09-07 4.992379 7.024260 9.879143 14.256582 20.930621 30.941197 47.513193
2025-09-14 4.480656 6.503302 9.448534 14.144084 21.620508 33.374847 53.889947
2025-09-21 4.009954 5.982156 8.946373 13.839929 21.942543 35.238896 59.602741
2025-09-28 3.656879 5.596186 8.598236 13.719114 22.517699 37.558188 66.441534
2025-10-05 3.478916 5.461214 8.622046 14.195159 24.138604 41.864823 77.604894
2025-10-12 3.310288 5.320995 8.616923 14.611702 25.695945 46.263569 89.727127
2025-10-19 3.109262 5.105416 8.460071 14.736385 26.726092 49.810876 100.774647
2025-10-26 2.869417 4.806761 8.139955 14.545269 27.168353 52.350896 110.355866
2025-11-02 2.647279 4.519001 7.811576 14.301869 27.479035 54.681422 119.977691
2025-11-09 2.448085 4.254148 7.498848 14.051916 27.742258 56.953512 129.949313
2025-11-16 2.281764 4.034149 7.247442 13.892614 28.170270 59.645642 141.515774
2025-11-23 2.144867 3.856526 7.058569 13.836552 28.809274 62.907605 155.243952
2025-11-30 2.064310 3.777972 7.052079 14.155798 30.318986 68.435070 176.250220
2025-12-07 1.944159 3.612617 6.858802 14.054105 30.852691 71.697231 191.771443
2025-12-14 1.814654 3.418371 6.590069 13.757519 30.887389 73.718569 204.188735
2025-12-21 1.714377 3.274377 6.411165 13.640495 31.336534 76.873533 220.787933
2025-12-28 1.676793 3.254388 6.488373 14.115202 33.317036 84.439087 253.265844
2026-01-04 1.635377 3.222902 6.537807 14.530106 35.206243 92.104592 288.290188